Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 9.442089 11.048237 12.803963 14.860287 17.196975 19.763889 22.791149
2025-12-07 7.001925 9.247279 11.958948 15.447474 19.785978 24.971447 31.602135
2025-12-14 5.229940 7.632214 10.777796 15.136459 20.947681 28.348819 38.394042
2025-12-21 4.032839 6.421973 9.776285 14.724790 21.713152 31.084305 44.423337
2025-12-28 3.486673 5.974765 9.676202 15.423179 23.922412 35.793245 53.329166
2026-01-04 3.009085 5.520770 9.461924 15.871459 25.749801 40.051869 61.875292
2026-01-11 2.550041 4.999856 9.046336 15.923124 26.939110 43.428097 69.347543
2026-01-18 2.179090 4.552918 8.669183 15.958159 28.058434 46.729565 76.879705
2026-01-25 1.810055 4.035481 8.088742 15.566665 28.424985 48.863544 82.738882
2026-02-01 1.511033 3.590653 7.563691 15.187986 28.743002 50.898601 88.522957
2026-02-08 1.236384 3.137791 6.951895 14.567531 28.565251 52.083650 92.984839
2026-02-15 1.018895 2.759914 6.423200 14.024047 28.446644 53.320564 97.560122
2026-02-22 0.924254 2.654342 6.452486 14.603462 30.504178 58.552444 109.405372
2026-03-01 0.829273 2.531399 6.435640 15.108007 32.506632 63.899812 121.919321
2026-03-08 0.687653 2.255666 6.040915 14.789406 32.910708 66.455882 129.803330
2026-03-15 0.565375 1.996467 5.634650 14.383480 33.087194 68.590484 137.057418
2026-03-22 0.522708 1.951009 5.724528 15.067378 35.506116 75.013472 152.360445
2026-03-29 0.472133 1.868324 5.708228 15.506604 37.454156 80.670511 166.584364
2026-04-05 0.410687 1.733555 5.535076 15.557221 38.581944 84.822402 178.252685
2026-04-12 0.357293 1.608941 5.365660 15.591554 39.669953 88.956157 190.105607
2026-04-19 0.297431 1.441132 5.044937 15.207881 39.792910 91.170727 198.409493
2026-04-26 0.247571 1.291952 4.746854 14.836791 39.899520 93.343324 206.733545
2026-05-03 0.199798 1.131287 4.379649 14.228825 39.390331 94.198341 212.493955